Who will win the 2026 Nobel Prize in economics?

A thinly traded prediction market offers a starting point. We explore potential winners and the big ideas that could earn them economics' biggest prize.

<img src='https://npr.brightspotcdn.com/dims3/default/strip/false/crop/3500x2374+0+0/resize/3500x2374!/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fnpr-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fcf%2F9b%2F849934d348b69488946a430c099e%2Fgettyimages-1241423375.jpg' alt='A woman holds Russian journalist Dmitry Muratov's 2021 Nobel Peace Prize medal in New York in 2022.'/><p>A thinly traded prediction market offers a starting point. We explore potential winners and the big ideas that could earn them economics' biggest prize.</p><p>(Image credit: Kena Betancur)</p><img src='https://media.npr.org/include/images/tracking/npr-rss-pixel.png?story=g-s1-146828' />